Biostatistical analysis of the collaborative glaucoma study. I. Summary report of the risk factors for glaucomatous visual-field defects

M. F. Armaly, D. E. Krueger, L. Maunder, B. Becker, J. Hetherington Jr, A. E. Kolker, R. Z. Levene, A. E. Maumenee, I. P. Pollack and R. N. Shaffer

A prospective collaborative study was conducted in five centers during a 13-year period to identify factors that influence the development of visual-field defects (GVFDs) of open angle glaucoma. In 5,000 subjects, GVFDs developed in only 1.7% of eyes. Statistical analysis of 26 factors at first examination identified five that were significantly related to the development of GVFDs--outflow facility, age, applanation pressure, cup-disc ratio, and pressure change after water drinking. Their absolute initial value, and not its change with time, was the important predictor. Multivariate analysis showed their collective predictive power to be undesirably poor, indicating that other factors must play an important role in the development of GVFDs. Mortality-table analysis indicated that during a period of five years, 98.54% of eyes with initial pressure less than 20 mm Hg continued to be free from GVFDs as compared with 93.34% of those with pressure of 20 mm Hg or greater.

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