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  Vol. 121 No. 10, October 2003 TABLE OF CONTENTS
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Estimates of Incidence Rates With Longitudinal Claims Data

Frank A. Sloan, PhD; Derek S. Brown, MA; Emily S. Carlisle, MA; Jan Ostermann, PhD; Paul P. Lee, MD, JD

Arch Ophthalmol. 2003;121:1462-1468.

Objective  To estimate incidence rates of the 3 major chronic eye diseases—diabetic retinopathy (DR), glaucoma, and age-related macular degeneration (ARMD)—by using longitudinal claims data from Medicare.

Methods  Longitudinal cases were ascertained by using a national probability sample of Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 years and older in 1991 who initially had none of the eye diseases documented. After adjusting for death and enrollment in a health maintenance organization, claims filed by optometrists or ophthalmologists with an International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification code for all forms of DR, glaucoma, and ARMD were used to indicate diagnosis.

Results  Annual incidence rates for the 3 conditions after the first year of observation ranged from 14.3% to 17.7% (higher earlier) across an 8-year longitudinal follow-up. Incidence rates among those with diabetes mellitus for any form of DR varied between 3.8% and 6.5%, while those for glaucoma varied between 4.6% and 7.8% and those for ARMD varied between 7.5% and 9.3%.

Conclusions  Longitudinal claims data after the first year provide relatively stable estimates of incidence rates on an annual basis. These estimates are comparable with those of the few population-based studies available.


From the Department of Economics (Dr Sloan, Mr Brown, and Ms Carlisle); Center for Health Policy, Law, and Management (Drs Sloan and Ostermann); and Department of Ophthalmology, School of Medicine (Dr Lee), Duke University, Durham, NC. The authors have no relevant financial interest in this article.



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